Matchup Status (Week 14)

0.0 - 0.0 vs Meat Pistols

Games Pending (16)

Player	Pos	Slot	ESPN	LLM
Jacoby Brissett	QB	QB	15.3	18.0
Bucky Irving	RB	RB	16.4	15.0
Tyjae Spears	RB	RB	8.6	9.5
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	WR	20.9	19.5
Rashee Rice	WR	WR	17.1	17.5
Juwan Johnson	TE	TE	9.7	10.0
Jameson Williams	WR	RB/WR/TE	16.9	18.0
Jason Myers	K	K	8.3	10.0
Rams D/ST	D/ST	D/ST	6.8	8.0
Emanuel Wilson (bench)	RB	BE	6.1	---
Hunter Henry (bench)	TE	BE	0.0	---
Jordan Love (bench)	QB	BE	17.6	17.5
Keenan Allen (bench)	WR	BE	10.5	---
Marvin Harrison Jr. (bench)	WR	BE	13.8	14.0
Omarion Hampton (bench)	RB	BE	12.1	---
Tetairoa McMillan (bench)	WR	BE	0.0	---

0.0 Starter Actuals

125.5 Remaining Proj

125.5 Est. Total

Opponent: Meat Pistols

Opponent Games Pending (16)

Player	Pos	Slot	ESPN
Patrick Mahomes	QB	QB	17.9
Ollie Gordon II	RB	RB	3.2
Ray Davis	RB	RB	2.6
DJ Moore	WR	WR	9.1
Malik Washington	WR	WR	8.4
Dalton Kincaid	TE	TE	10.0
Nick Chubb	RB	RB/WR/TE	5.3
Brandon Aubrey	K	K	8.9
Vikings D/ST	D/ST	D/ST	5.5
Chris Boswell (bench)	K	BE	7.9
Christian McCaffrey (bench)	RB	BE	0.0
J.J. McCarthy (bench)	QB	BE	14.6
Keon Coleman (bench)	WR	BE	2.2
Packers D/ST (bench)	D/ST	BE	3.5
Rhamondre Stevenson (bench)	RB	BE	0.0
Sam LaPorta (bench)	TE	BE	0.0

0.0 Opp Actuals

71.0 Opp Remaining

71.0 Opp Est. Total

Projected Margin: +54.5 pts

Executive Summary

Week 14 presents a favorable matchup against Meat Pistols with strong win probability (~85%). The lineup prioritizes upside with Jacoby Brissett at QB (70% BOOM probability vs LAR's porous defense) over the safer Jordan Love. Irving's return from injury combined with a juicy NO matchup (28th vs RB) provides RB1 stability. Jameson Williams locks in Thursday against DAL's 30th-ranked pass defense in a potential shootout (54.5 game total). Key concerns are Omarion Hampton's return status (GTD vs PHI's elite run defense) and MHJ's Wednesday practice absence - both require Sunday monitoring.

Key Insights

Brissett over Love: MC model shows 70% BOOM probability for Brissett vs LAR (47.0 total, ARI +8 underdog = passing volume)
Irving smash spot: NO 28th vs RB, TB -8.5 favorite, returned Week 13 with 19 touches
Williams Thursday lock: DAL 30th vs WR, 54.5 game total - highest on slate
JSN consistency: 12% boom/23% bust per XGB - safest WR play vs ATL 26th pass D
Hampton GTD: Returning from IR, but vs PHI #5 run defense - risky even if active
MHJ concern: Missed Wednesday practice - monitor through week for FLEX consideration
Spears floor play: CLE tough (8th vs RB) but TEN will need to pass = PPR value
Rams D/ST upside: ARI +8 = Brissett will make mistakes, 8.0 pts projected

Recommended Starting Lineup

Slot	Player	Opp	ESPN	LLM	Mode	Confidence
QB	Jacoby Brissett	LAR	15.3	18.0	BOOM	MEDIUM
RB	Bucky Irving	Unk	16.4	15.0	MODERATE	MEDIUM
RB	Tyjae Spears	CLE	8.6	9.5	MODERATE	LOW
WR	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	ATL	20.9	19.5	MODERATE	HIGH
WR	Rashee Rice	HOU	17.1	17.5	MODERATE	MEDIUM
FLEX	Jameson Williams	DAL	16.9	18.0	MODERATE	MEDIUM
TE	Juwan Johnson	TB	9.7	10.0	MODERATE	MEDIUM
K	Jason Myers	ATL	8.3	10.0	MODERATE	LOW
D/ST	Rams D/ST	ARI	6.8	8.0	MODERATE	MEDIUM

Lineup Decisions

QB: Start Jacoby Brissett over Jordan Love - MC shows 70% BOOM mode for Brissett vs LAR. High game total (47.0), ARI +8 = garbage time passing.

FLEX: Start Jameson Williams over Marvin Harrison Jr. - MHJ missed Wednesday practice. JWill in smash spot vs DAL (30th vs WR, 54.5 total).

RB2: Start Tyjae Spears over Omarion Hampton - Hampton returning from IR vs elite PHI run D. Spears safer floor.

XGBoost Boom/Bust Analysis

Player	Pos	Boom%	Mod%	Bust%	Confidence
Marvin Harrison Jr.	WR	42.2%	47.3%	10.5%	MEDIUM
Jason Myers	K	36.5%	41.5%	22.0%	MEDIUM
Evan Engram	TE	25.3%	49.2%	25.5%	MEDIUM
Rashee Rice	WR	25.3%	49.8%	24.9%	MEDIUM
Juwan Johnson	TE	18.6%	52.2%	29.2%	MEDIUM
Jordan Love	QB	17.5%	73.7%	8.8%	MEDIUM
Jacoby Brissett	QB	17.1%	64.1%	18.8%	MEDIUM
Tyjae Spears	RB	16.9%	59.5%	23.5%	MEDIUM
Omarion Hampton	RB	13.8%	47.5%	38.7%	MEDIUM
Rams D/ST	D/ST	11.2%	21.3%	67.5%	MEDIUM
Bucky Irving	RB	11.0%	47.6%	41.3%	MEDIUM
Emanuel Wilson	RB	11.0%	43.1%	45.9%	MEDIUM
Jameson Williams	WR	10.8%	33.9%	55.4%	MEDIUM
Keenan Allen	WR	10.6%	33.0%	56.4%	MEDIUM
Tetairoa McMillan	WR	10.2%	32.1%	57.7%	MEDIUM
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	8.9%	77.7%	13.3%	MEDIUM
Hunter Henry	TE	8.7%	24.1%	67.1%	MEDIUM

Jordan Love (GB vs CHI)

Projections: ESPN 17.6 | LLM 17.5 (MODERATE)

Reasoning: XGB: 30% boom, 22% bust. vs CHI (16th vs QB). GB -6.5 favorite in shootout potential (44.5 total). Hot streak: 31/43 337yds 3TD Week 13. MODERATE mode [9.1-24.1]. Weather concern but dome-like for cold weather team. Selecting 17.5 in MODERATE range.

Context: O/U: 44.5 | Def Rank: 16 | ECR: 12

MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 47% | BOOM: 24%

XGB (This Week): Boom 18% | Bust 9% (MEDIUM)

Jacoby Brissett (ARI vs LAR)

Projections: ESPN 15.3 | LLM 18.0 (BOOM)

Reasoning: XGB: 22% boom, 35% bust. vs LAR (10th vs QB). High game total (47.0). MC shows 70% BOOM mode! ARI +8 underdog = passing volume. LLM AGREES with MC BOOM selection despite XGB moderate signal. 18.0 in BOOM range [16.5-27.5].

Context: O/U: 47.0 | Def Rank: 10 | ECR: 8

MC (Historical): BUST: 24% | MODERATE: 5% | BOOM: 70%

XGB (This Week): Boom 17% | Bust 19% (MEDIUM)

Bucky Irving (TB vs Unk)

Projections: ESPN 16.4 | LLM 15.0 (MODERATE)

Reasoning: XGB: 10% boom, 54% bust - HIGH bust risk. vs NO (28th vs RB - JUICY). TB -8.5 favorite = positive game script for RB usage. Returned Week 13 with 19 touches (17 carries). MODERATE mode [7.9-19.9]. Despite high bust risk from XGB, favorable matchup justifies MODERATE. 15.0 within range.

Context: O/U: 42.5 | Def Rank: 28 | ECR: 23

MC (Historical): BUST: 17% | MODERATE: 61% | BOOM: 22%

XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 41% (MEDIUM)

Tyjae Spears (TEN vs CLE)

Projections: ESPN 8.6 | LLM 9.5 (MODERATE)

Reasoning: XGB: 19% boom, 34% bust. vs CLE (8th vs RB - TOUGH). Low game total (33.5) = limited scoring. TEN +4.5 underdog = negative game script risk. MC MODERATE [5.3-13.3]. MODERATE 9.5 accounts for committee split with Pollard. Ceiling capped.

Context: O/U: 33.5 | Def Rank: 8

MC (Historical): BUST: 20% | MODERATE: 61% | BOOM: 18%

XGB (This Week): Boom 17% | Bust 24% (MEDIUM)

Omarion Hampton (LAC vs PHI)

Projections: ESPN 12.1 | LLM N/A (BUST)

Reasoning: RETURNING FROM IR but game-time decision MNF vs PHI. PHI elite run D (5th). XGB: 11% boom, 56% bust. Even if activated, will be on snap count. Setting 0.0 as conservative - UPDATE SUNDAY if activated with clear role.

Context: O/U: 40.5 | Def Rank: 5

MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 40% | BOOM: 31%

XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 39% (MEDIUM)

Emanuel Wilson (GB vs CHI)

Projections: ESPN 6.1 | LLM N/A (BUST)

Reasoning: BENCH player. XGB: 14% boom, 50% bust. Backup to Josh Jacobs. vs CHI. Not in lineup consideration. 0.0 (bench).

Context: O/U: 44.5 | Def Rank: 12

MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 11%

XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 46% (MEDIUM)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA vs ATL)

Projections: ESPN 20.9 | LLM 19.5 (MODERATE)

Reasoning: XGB: 12% boom, 23% bust - MODERATE profile. @ATL (26th vs WR - SMASH spot). SEA -7 favorite = positive game script. Target leader for SEA. MC MODERATE [12-26]. Selecting 19.5 in MODERATE - consistent high floor.

Context: O/U: 44.5 | Def Rank: 26 | ECR: 1

MC (Historical): BUST: 34% | MODERATE: 43% | BOOM: 22%

XGB (This Week): Boom 9% | Bust 13% (MEDIUM)

Tetairoa McMillan (CAR vs Unk)

Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A (BUST)

Reasoning: BYE WEEK (CAR). No projection needed.

Context: Def Rank: 16

MC (Historical): BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 33% | BOOM: 16%

XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 58% (MEDIUM)

Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI vs LAR)

Projections: ESPN 13.8 | LLM 14.0 (MODERATE)

Reasoning: XGB: 36% boom, 20% bust - BOOM profile. vs LAR (12th vs WR). MISSED WEDNESDAY PRACTICE - monitor. High game total (47.0) but ARI +8 underdog = garbage time upside. MC MODERATE [7.8-16.2]. 14.0 in MODERATE, could upgrade to BOOM if healthy Friday.

Context: O/U: 47.0 | Def Rank: 12 | ECR: 13

MC (Historical): BUST: 30% | MODERATE: 44% | BOOM: 26%

XGB (This Week): Boom 42% | Bust 10% (MEDIUM)

Rashee Rice (KC vs HOU)

Projections: ESPN 17.1 | LLM 17.5 (MODERATE)

Reasoning: XGB: 34% boom, 31% bust - VOLATILE. vs HOU (14th vs WR). KC -4.5 favorite. MC shows 47% BOOM probability but XGB more conservative. Selecting MODERATE mode [10.6-21.4] due to HOU decent secondary. 17.5 balanced projection.

Context: O/U: 41.5 | Def Rank: 14 | ECR: 3

MC (Historical): BUST: 24% | MODERATE: 29% | BOOM: 47%

XGB (This Week): Boom 25% | Bust 25% (MEDIUM)

Jameson Williams (DET vs DAL)

Projections: ESPN 16.9 | LLM 18.0 (MODERATE)

Reasoning: THURSDAY GAME vs DAL completed. XGB: 12% boom, 47% bust. High-scoring game (54.5 total). DAL 30th vs WR = BOOM spot. Note: Check actual score. MC MODERATE [8.9-21.1]. Projecting MODERATE 18.0.

Context: O/U: 54.5 | Def Rank: 30 | ECR: 16

MC (Historical): BUST: 33% | MODERATE: 41% | BOOM: 26%

XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 55% (MEDIUM)

Keenan Allen (LAC vs PHI)

Projections: ESPN 10.5 | LLM N/A (BUST)

Reasoning: BENCH player. XGB: 10% boom, 53% bust. vs PHI (7th vs WR - TOUGH). LAC +3 underdog. If starting Hampton returns, Allen depth chart impact unclear. Not in lineup consideration. 0.0 (bench).

Context: O/U: 40.5 | Def Rank: 7 | ECR: 23

MC (Historical): BUST: 63% | MODERATE: 21% | BOOM: 16%

XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 56% (MEDIUM)

Evan Engram (DEN vs LV)

Projections: ESPN 8.1 | LLM 6.0 (BUST)

Reasoning: ECR: TE27 SIT. MC: 52% BUST prob. Now with DEN, splits reps with Trautman/Adkins. 6.0 within BUST [2.4-8.4]. Avoid unless desperate at TE.

Context: O/U: 44.0 | Def Rank: 16 | ECR: 27

MC (Historical): BUST: 52% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 8%

XGB (This Week): Boom 25% | Bust 26% (MEDIUM)

Juwan Johnson (NO vs TB)

Projections: ESPN 9.7 | LLM 10.0 (MODERATE)

Reasoning: XGB: 26% boom, 30% bust. @TB (18th vs TE). NO +8.5 underdog = passing volume for garbage time. MC BOOM mode at 36%! But selecting MODERATE [5.7-12.3] due to low team total (17.0 implied). 10.0 in MODERATE range.

Context: O/U: 42.5 | Def Rank: 18 | ECR: 6

MC (Historical): BUST: 28% | MODERATE: 35% | BOOM: 36%

XGB (This Week): Boom 19% | Bust 29% (MEDIUM)

Hunter Henry ( vs )

Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A (BUST)

Reasoning: BYE WEEK (NE). No projection needed.

MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 37% | BOOM: 14%

XGB (This Week): Boom 9% | Bust 67% (MEDIUM)

Jordan Love (QB) - GB vs CHI

Projections: ESPN 17.6 | LLM 17.5

MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 47% | BOOM: 24%

XGB (This Week): Boom 18% | Bust 9%

Notes: XGB: 30% boom, 22% bust. vs CHI (16th vs QB). GB -6.5 favorite in shootout potential (44.5 total). Hot streak: 31/43 337yds 3TD Week 13. MODERATE mode [9.1-24.1]. Weather concern but dome-like for cold weather team. Selecting 17.5 in MODERATE range.

Tetairoa McMillan (WR) - CAR vs Unk

Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A

MC (Historical): BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 33% | BOOM: 16%

XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 58%

Notes: BYE WEEK (CAR). No projection needed.

Evan Engram (TE) - DEN vs LV

Projections: ESPN 8.1 | LLM 6.0

MC (Historical): BUST: 52% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 8%

XGB (This Week): Boom 25% | Bust 26%

Notes: ECR: TE27 SIT. MC: 52% BUST prob. Now with DEN, splits reps with Trautman/Adkins. 6.0 within BUST [2.4-8.4]. Avoid unless desperate at TE.

Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR) - ARI vs LAR

Projections: ESPN 13.8 | LLM 14.0

MC (Historical): BUST: 30% | MODERATE: 44% | BOOM: 26%

XGB (This Week): Boom 42% | Bust 10%

Notes: XGB: 36% boom, 20% bust - BOOM profile. vs LAR (12th vs WR). MISSED WEDNESDAY PRACTICE - monitor. High game total (47.0) but ARI +8 underdog = garbage time upside. MC MODERATE [7.8-16.2]. 14.0 in MODERATE, could upgrade to BOOM if healthy Friday.

Omarion Hampton (RB) - LAC vs PHI

Projections: ESPN 12.1 | LLM N/A

MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 40% | BOOM: 31%

XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 39%

Notes: RETURNING FROM IR but game-time decision MNF vs PHI. PHI elite run D (5th). XGB: 11% boom, 56% bust. Even if activated, will be on snap count. Setting 0.0 as conservative - UPDATE SUNDAY if activated with clear role.

Emanuel Wilson (RB) - GB vs CHI

Projections: ESPN 6.1 | LLM N/A

MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 11%

XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 46%

Notes: BENCH player. XGB: 14% boom, 50% bust. Backup to Josh Jacobs. vs CHI. Not in lineup consideration. 0.0 (bench).

Keenan Allen (WR) - LAC vs PHI

Projections: ESPN 10.5 | LLM N/A

MC (Historical): BUST: 63% | MODERATE: 21% | BOOM: 16%

XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 56%

Notes: BENCH player. XGB: 10% boom, 53% bust. vs PHI (7th vs WR - TOUGH). LAC +3 underdog. If starting Hampton returns, Allen depth chart impact unclear. Not in lineup consideration. 0.0 (bench).

Hunter Henry (TE) - vs

Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A

MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 37% | BOOM: 14%

XGB (This Week): Boom 9% | Bust 67%

Notes: BYE WEEK (NE). No projection needed.

Monte Carlo Projection Report

Week 14 | Generated: 2025-12-04 04:27

Matchup Summary

85.6%

Win Probability

+31.4

Expected Margin

125.5

My Team (LLM Proj)

87.2

Opponent (Proj)

29.6

Margin Std Dev

118.7

My Team (MC EV)

Margin Distribution (80% Range)

Floor: -6.5 pts | Median: +31.8 pts | Ceiling: +68.9 pts

Opponent Bench Substitution Analysis

When opponent starters are injured, the system models likely bench substitutions to provide more accurate win probability estimates. (ESPN projections shown - LLM projections only available for our team)

Position	Injured Starter	Status	ESPN Proj	Replacement	Repl ESPN
TE	Dalton Kincaid	QUESTIONABLE	12.2	Sam LaPorta	11.9

Opponent Lineup Scenarios

Win probability weighted across multiple injury scenarios.

Scenario	Probability	Opp Total EV	Win Prob	Expected Margin
All injured starters play	85.0%	87.2	85.2%	+31.6
All injured starters out	15.0%	89.0	84.0%	+29.4

My Team

Key: Click any row to view full histogram. ↑15+ = P(≥15pts) | ↓5- = P(<5pts)

Variance: HIGH CV>0.5 (boom/bust) | MED CV>0.3 (moderate) | LOW CV≤0.3 (consistent)

Starters

Player	Pos	Var	Proj	Range (80%)	Boom/Bust
Jacoby Brissett	QB	MED	18.0	4.3-28.2	↑15+: 65% \| ↓5-: 12%
Bucky Irving	RB	MED	15.0	4.4-24.6	↑15+: 44% \| ↓5-: 11%
Tyjae Spears	RB	HIGH	9.5	2.2-19.9	↑15+: 20% \| ↓5-: 26%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	HIGH	19.5	5.7-29.9	↑15+: 57% \| ↓5-: 7%
Rashee Rice	WR	MED	17.5	7.1-28.1	↑15+: 62% \| ↓5-: 3%
Jameson Williams	WR	HIGH	18.0	4.2-25.4	↑15+: 47% \| ↓5-: 14%
Juwan Johnson	TE	HIGH	10.0	2.6-16.8	↑15+: 17% \| ↓5-: 24%
Rams D/ST	D/ST	HIGH	8.0	0.0-17.5	↑15+: 16% \| ↓5-: 44%
Jason Myers	K	MED	10.0	4.5-16.4	↑15+: 16% \| ↓5-: 13%

Bench

Player	Pos	Var	Proj	Range (80%)	Boom/Bust
Jordan Love	QB	MED	17.5	6.4-27.8	↑15+: 53% \| ↓5-: 5%
Omarion Hampton	RB	HIGH	0.0	2.4-24.2	↑15+: 35% \| ↓5-: 23%
Emanuel Wilson	RB	HIGH	0.0	0.4-20.3	↑15+: 18% \| ↓5-: 45%
Tetairoa McMillan	WR	HIGH	0.0	5.0-26.0	↑15+: 29% \| ↓5-: 10%
Marvin Harrison Jr.	WR	HIGH	14.0	3.3-21.7	↑15+: 31% \| ↓5-: 19%
Keenan Allen	WR	HIGH	0.0	4.5-25.9	↑15+: 32% \| ↓5-: 15%
Hunter Henry	TE	HIGH	0.0	3.4-21.9	↑15+: 19% \| ↓5-: 26%

Opponent

Starters

Player	Pos	Var	Proj	Range (80%)	Boom/Bust
Patrick Mahomes	QB	MED	20.2	9.8-31.3	↑15+: 68% \| ↓5-: 0%
Nick Chubb	RB	HIGH	7.5	1.6-15.8	↑15+: 12% \| ↓5-: 43%
Ray Davis	RB	HIGH	6.8	0.3-16.0	↑15+: 12% \| ↓5-: 48%
Ollie Gordon II	RB	HIGH	7.7	0.4-17.2	↑15+: 15% \| ↓5-: 43%
DJ Moore	WR	HIGH	11.8	4.2-22.7	↑15+: 33% \| ↓5-: 18%
Malik Washington	WR	HIGH	8.3	2.0-15.9	↑15+: 13% \| ↓5-: 33%
Dalton Kincaid	TE	HIGH	9.6	2.7-18.5	↑15+: 22% \| ↓5-: 29%
Vikings D/ST	D/ST	HIGH	6.3	0.0-21.0	↑15+: 16% \| ↓5-: 60%
Brandon Aubrey	K	HIGH	9.0	3.3-16.5	↑15+: 15% \| ↓5-: 22%

Bench

Player	Pos	Var	Proj	Range (80%)	Boom/Bust
J.J. McCarthy	QB	HIGH	14.9	3.4-26.6	↑15+: 48% \| ↓5-: 17%
Christian McCaffrey	RB	MED	22.3	11.4-35.1	↑15+: 71% \| ↓5-: 0%
Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	HIGH	10.3	2.2-20.9	↑15+: 25% \| ↓5-: 31%
Keon Coleman	WR	HIGH	9.2	2.5-18.8	↑15+: 17% \| ↓5-: 31%
Sam LaPorta	TE	HIGH	11.4	3.6-19.8	↑15+: 30% \| ↓5-: 19%
Packers D/ST	D/ST	HIGH	6.8	0.0-16.1	↑15+: 12% \| ↓5-: 47%
Chris Boswell	K	HIGH	8.4	1.9-15.5	↑15+: 12% \| ↓5-: 30%

Scenario Details

Player	Position	BOOM	MODERATE	BUST	EV
Bucky Irving	RB	22% @ 23.8	61% @ 14.0	17% @ 4.3	14.6
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	23% @ 29.4	43% @ 18.6	34% @ 7.2	17.1
Rashee Rice	WR	47% @ 24.2	29% @ 15.7	25% @ 7.9	17.8
Tyjae Spears	RB	18% @ 20.4	61% @ 8.9	20% @ 3.0	9.8
Jason Myers	K	22% @ 15.9	44% @ 11.2	34% @ 5.8	10.3
Juwan Johnson	TE	36% @ 14.7	35% @ 9.2	28% @ 3.6	9.6
Jameson Williams	WR	26% @ 24.0	41% @ 15.2	33% @ 5.6	14.4
Jacoby Brissett	QB	70% @ 21.7	5% @ 14.8	24% @ 6.0	17.5
Rams D/ST	D/ST	23% @ 16.3	40% @ 8.0	37% @ 1.3	7.5

Waiver Wire Notes

No urgent moves with Hampton returning. If both RBs out: Isiah Pacheco (KC), Chris Rodriguez Jr. (WSH), or Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) are best available. Chuba Hubbard on bye.

Injury Concerns

No major injury concerns.

ESPN Projection Accuracy

XGBoost Boom/Bust Calibration

LLM vs ESPN Comparison

Data Quality & Discrepancies

This tab logs discrepancies detected during the weekly analysis process.

Week 14 Discrepancy Log

No discrepancies detected this week.